GAMBLEBENCH · LAB LOG · V3
prediction markets
RECORDED 03 AUG 2026 RUN V3
pricing + value betting on settled Kalshi/Polymarket markets — 150 items, each with a recorded ground truth.
| item | question | ground truth | DeepSeek-V4-Flash | Big-Pickle | Nemotron-3-Ultra |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| market-pricing-0 | Ethereum price at Apr 14, 2026 at 2pm EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-1 | Bitcoin price on Apr 5, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | — | 0.02 refused | 0.01 refused |
| market-pricing-2 | Will the Milwaukee pro basketball team win at least 40 times this season? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.95 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| market-pricing-3 | Will Mark Byington be the next permanent head coach of North Carolina men's college basket | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| market-pricing-4 | Eastern Conference Finals Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| market-pricing-5 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 7, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 2.0, "implied_p": 0.02} | 0.02 | — refused | 0.50 |
| market-pricing-6 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 25, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 3.0, "implied_p": 0.03} | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| market-pricing-7 | Washington at Utah Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.40 | 0.01 | 0.01 refused |
| market-pricing-8 | Will the White House Press Secretary say Oil at her next press briefing? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.01 | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| market-pricing-9 | Will Dusan Lajovic win the Jodar vs Lajovic : Round Of 32 match? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-10 | Will DN SOOPers Challengers win map 1 in the DN SOOPers Challengers vs. KT Rolster Challen | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.45 | 0.15 | — |
| market-pricing-11 | Eyupspor vs Samsunspor Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.45 | 0.25 refused | 0.01 |
| market-pricing-12 | Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 refused |
| market-pricing-13 | Will Santa Clara qualify for the Men's March Madness Round of 32? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| market-pricing-14 | Will the gold open price be between $4380.00 and 4419.99 at Mar 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| market-pricing-15 | Nico Hoerner: 1+ home runs? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| market-pricing-16 | Willy Adames: 1+ home runs? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 6.0, "implied_p": 0.06} | 0.16 | 0.07 | 0.05 refused |
| market-pricing-17 | Bitcoin price on Mar 31, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.05 refused |
| market-pricing-18 | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.50 | 0.50 | — |
| market-pricing-19 | Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.30 by 11:59 PM ET on Mar 31, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 12.0, "implied_p": 0.12} | 0.28 | 0.50 | 0.12 |
| market-pricing-20 | Lance McCullers: 6+ strikeouts? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 19.0, "implied_p": 0.19} | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.01 |
| market-pricing-21 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 6, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 19.0, "implied_p": 0.19} | 0.19 refused | 0.19 refused | — |
| market-pricing-22 | XRP price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| market-pricing-23 | Ethereum price at Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 14.0, "implied_p": 0.14} | 0.15 | 0.15 | stand |
| market-pricing-24 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 25, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.90 | 0.05 | bet |
| market-pricing-25 | What will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing on April 7th? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 6.0, "implied_p": 0.06} | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.06 refused |
| market-pricing-26 | EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 15? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 9.0, "implied_p": 0.09} | 0.50 | 0.10 | — refused |
| market-pricing-27 | Bitcoin price on Apr 7, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 7.0, "implied_p": 0.07} | 0.06 | 0.07 | — |
| market-pricing-28 | Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 22.0, "implied_p": 0.22} | 0.22 | 0.23 | — |
| market-pricing-29 | Top USA Song on Spotify on Mar 13, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 27.0, "implied_p": 0.27} | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| market-pricing-30 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 31, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 22.0, "implied_p": 0.22} | 0.02 | 1.00 | bet |
| market-pricing-31 | Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 30.0, "implied_p": 0.3} | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| market-pricing-32 | Will the S&P 500 be above 7029.9999 on Apr 16, 2026 at 2pm EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 36.0, "implied_p": 0.36} | 0.05 | no_bet | 0.30 |
| market-pricing-33 | Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 21.0, "implied_p": 0.21} | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.21 refused |
| market-pricing-34 | SOL price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 36.0, "implied_p": 0.36} | 0.36 | 0.50 | bet |
| market-pricing-35 | Will Nebraska qualify for the Men's March Madness Elite Eight? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 27.0, "implied_p": 0.27} | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| market-pricing-36 | Ezra Taylor vs Willy Hutchinson Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 24.0, "implied_p": 0.24} | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| market-pricing-37 | Bitcoin price on Apr 10, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 36.0, "implied_p": 0.36} | 0.36 | 0.36 refused | 0.36 refused |
| market-pricing-38 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 24, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 35.0, "implied_p": 0.35} | 0.35 refused | 0.35 | 0.35 refused |
| market-pricing-39 | The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 5? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 33.0, "implied_p": 0.33} | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.33 |
| market-pricing-40 | Will above 100000 jobs be added in March 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 29.0, "implied_p": 0.29} | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| market-pricing-41 | What will 2026 Masters Tournament winner say during 2026 Masters Champion’s Press Conferen | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 20.0, "implied_p": 0.2} | 0.20 | — | bet |
| market-pricing-42 | Will ARIRANG have At least 560000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart f | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 58.0, "implied_p": 0.58} | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| market-pricing-43 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 26, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 43.0, "implied_p": 0.43} | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.43 refused |
| market-pricing-44 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6564.9999 on Apr 7, 2026 at 10am EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 45.0, "implied_p": 0.45} | 0.47 | — | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-45 | BNB price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 56.0, "implied_p": 0.56} | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.56 refused |
| market-pricing-46 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 56.0, "implied_p": 0.56} | 0.51 | 0.56 refused | — |
| market-pricing-47 | How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global for Apr 8, 2026 hav | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 53.0, "implied_p": 0.53} | 0.53 | 1.00 | no_bet refused |
| market-pricing-48 | Will above 70000 jobs be added in March 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 59.0, "implied_p": 0.59} | 0.82 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| market-pricing-49 | Will Bromley FC win on 2026-04-16? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 52.0, "implied_p": 0.52} | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| market-pricing-50 | Steven Kwan: 1+ home runs? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 49.0, "implied_p": 0.49} | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| market-pricing-51 | Will above 80000 jobs be added in March 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 49.0, "implied_p": 0.49} | 0.70 | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| market-pricing-52 | Will ADL have At Least 40000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for Ap | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 45.0, "implied_p": 0.45} | 0.45 | 0.00 | — |
| market-pricing-53 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.02? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 47.0, "implied_p": 0.47} | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.47 refused |
| market-pricing-54 | Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Mar 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 42.0, "implied_p": 0.42} | 0.55 | 0.01 | 0.20 |
| market-pricing-55 | Lens wins by over 2.5 goals? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 55.0, "implied_p": 0.55} | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.55 refused |
| market-pricing-56 | XRP price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 61.0, "implied_p": 0.61} | 0.60 | 0.02 | 0.61 refused |
| market-pricing-57 | Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston finish top 20? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 71.0, "implied_p": 0.71} | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| market-pricing-58 | Shohei Ohtani: 7+ strikeouts? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 75.0, "implied_p": 0.75} | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-59 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 15, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 71.0, "implied_p": 0.71} | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.71 refused |
| market-pricing-60 | HIFK Helsinki vs KalPa Kuopio Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 67.0, "implied_p": 0.67} | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.67 |
| market-pricing-61 | MJ Melendez: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 75.0, "implied_p": 0.75} | 0.65 | 0.05 | 0.75 |
| market-pricing-62 | Will above 30000 jobs be added in March 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 77.0, "implied_p": 0.77} | 0.10 | 0.85 | 0.77 refused |
| market-pricing-63 | What will Tyson Fury say during Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek FINAL PRESS CONFERENCE? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 69.0, "implied_p": 0.69} | 0.70 | 0.70 | bet refused |
| market-pricing-64 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 24, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 79.0, "implied_p": 0.79} | 0.80 | bet refused | 0.79 refused |
| market-pricing-65 | Will above 60000 jobs be added in March 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 62.0, "implied_p": 0.62} | 0.30 | 0.72 | 1.00 |
| market-pricing-66 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.155? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 77.0, "implied_p": 0.77} | 0.77 | 0.78 | — |
| market-pricing-67 | Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7024.9999 on Apr 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 68.0, "implied_p": 0.68} | 0.70 refused | — | 0.68 refused |
| market-pricing-68 | Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the March Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 65.0, "implied_p": 0.65} | 0.30 | 0.07 | bet refused |
| market-pricing-69 | Will Malik Ellison win the Ballislife x OTD 1v1 between Dominique "Left Hand Dom" Alexande | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 75.0, "implied_p": 0.75} | 0.75 | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| market-pricing-70 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6499.9999 on Apr 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 92.0, "implied_p": 0.92} | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| market-pricing-71 | Bitcoin price on Apr 16, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 92.0, "implied_p": 0.92} | 0.88 refused | 0.90 | stand |
| market-pricing-72 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.110? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 94.0, "implied_p": 0.94} | 0.85 | 0.05 | 0.82 |
| market-pricing-73 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 94.0, "implied_p": 0.94} | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 refused |
| market-pricing-74 | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.40 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 82.0, "implied_p": 0.82} | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.82 |
| market-pricing-75 | Bitcoin price on Apr 17, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 92.0, "implied_p": 0.92} | 0.92 | 0.90 refused | 0.92 refused |
| market-pricing-76 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 31, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 80.0, "implied_p": 0.8} | 0.80 | 0.80 | — |
| market-pricing-77 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6584.9999 on Mar 25, 2026 at 10am EDT? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 90.0, "implied_p": 0.9} | 0.80 | 0.99 | 0.20 |
| market-pricing-78 | Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 runs? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 94.0, "implied_p": 0.94} | 0.30 | 0.94 | 0.94 refused |
| market-pricing-79 | Will MOUZ NXT win the fnatic vs. MOUZ NXT CS2 match? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 94.0, "implied_p": 0.94} | 0.94 | 0.45 | 0.99 |
| market-pricing-80 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.140? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 90.0, "implied_p": 0.9} | 0.00 | 0.90 | 0.75 |
| market-pricing-81 | Will number of transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 20 from Mar 9, 2026 | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 87.0, "implied_p": 0.87} | 0.85 | 0.94 | 0.20 |
| market-pricing-82 | Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6500.01 by Jan 1, 2027? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 94.0, "implied_p": 0.94} | 0.05 | 0.99 | 0.16 |
| market-pricing-83 | Bitcoin price on Mar 31, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 91.0, "implied_p": 0.91} | check | 0.91 | 0.91 refused |
| market-pricing-84 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 14? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.9, "implied_p": 0.9990000000000001} | 0.95 | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| market-pricing-85 | Will Marco Cecchinato win the Harris vs Cecchinato : Round Of 16 match? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.99 refused |
| market-pricing-86 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.9, "implied_p": 0.9990000000000001} | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 refused |
| market-pricing-87 | Will Yu Hsiou Hsu win the Hsu vs Boulais : Round Of 32 match? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.97 | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| market-pricing-88 | Baltimore vs Cleveland Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.97 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| market-pricing-89 | Bitcoin price on Mar 28, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.98 | 0.99 refused | no_bet |
| market-pricing-90 | What will Melania Trump say during Fostering the Future Together Global Coalition Summit o | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.96 refused | 0.97 | bet refused |
| market-pricing-91 | Bitcoin price on Apr 10, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.99 refused |
| market-pricing-92 | Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.15 | 0.97 | 0.40 refused |
| market-pricing-93 | Bitcoin price on Mar 27, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| market-pricing-94 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.2, "implied_p": 0.992} | 0.01 | 0.00 | — |
| market-pricing-95 | Oxford United vs Hull Winner? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.99 | 0.99 | stand refused |
| market-pricing-96 | Bitcoin price on Apr 4, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.99 | 0.99 | stand refused |
| market-pricing-97 | Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >104.99 on Apr 2, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 99.0, "implied_p": 0.99} | 0.98 | 0.98 refused | 1.00 |
| market-pricing-98 | Will the **high temp in LA** be 74-75° on Apr 9, 2026? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 1.0, "implied_p": 0.01} | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| market-pricing-99 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 0, "price_q": 0.1, "implied_p": 0.001} | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| market-value-0 | Dallas Renegades vs Columbus Aviators winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 71.0, "implied_p": 0.71} | 0.50 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| market-value-1 | Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hartford Wolf Pack Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 45.0, "implied_p": 0.45} | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 refused |
| market-value-2 | Orlando Storm vs Louisville Kings winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 35.0, "implied_p": 0.35} | bet | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| market-value-3 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 14? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 35.5, "implied_p": 0.355} | 0.02 | bet | 0.35 |
| market-value-4 | Texas vs A's first 5 innings runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 41.0, "implied_p": 0.41} | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.41 refused |
| market-value-5 | Oklahoma City wins by over 3.5 points? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 56.0, "implied_p": 0.56} | — | bet | 0.56 refused |
| market-value-6 | New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 34.0, "implied_p": 0.34} | 0.34 | 0.50 refused | 0.34 |
| market-value-7 | Tyler Glasnow: 8+ strikeouts? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 38.0, "implied_p": 0.38} | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| market-value-8 | Will G2 Esports win the MIBR vs. G2 Esports Valorant match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 57.0, "implied_p": 0.57} | bet | bet | 0.57 |
| market-value-9 | Seattle vs San Diego First Inning Run? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 41.0, "implied_p": 0.41} | 0.31 | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| market-value-10 | Will Jesper De Jong win the Cerundolo vs De Jong: Qualification Final match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 7.0, "implied_p": 0.07} | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| market-value-11 | Fluminense vs Flamengo Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 41.0, "implied_p": 0.41} | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.41 refused |
| market-value-12 | New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 43.0, "implied_p": 0.43} | bet | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| market-value-13 | Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 33.0, "implied_p": 0.33} | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| market-value-14 | Los Angeles L wins by over 5.5 points? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 12.0, "implied_p": 0.12} | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 refused |
| market-value-15 | Atlanta wins by over 2.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 31.0, "implied_p": 0.31} | 0.31 refused | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| market-value-16 | Will Justin Rose shoot under 71.5 in Round 3? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 47.0, "implied_p": 0.47} | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| market-value-17 | Lanus vs Banfield Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 18.0, "implied_p": 0.18} | 0.18 | 0.18 | — |
| market-value-18 | Will BNK FEARX win map 2 in the DN SOOPers vs. BNK FEARX match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 55.0, "implied_p": 0.55} | 0.55 | 0.55 | 1.00 |
| market-value-19 | Will Metizport win the Basement Bobs vs. Metizport CS2 match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 5.0, "implied_p": 0.05} | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.78 |
| market-value-20 | Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 16.0, "implied_p": 0.16} | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.16 refused |
| market-value-21 | Trujillanos vs Est. Merida Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 39.0, "implied_p": 0.39} | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| market-value-22 | Palestino vs Deportes Limache Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 22.0, "implied_p": 0.22} | 0.60 | 0.22 | 0.56 |
| market-value-23 | Will Nate Landwehr win the Swanson vs Landwehr professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 11 | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 47.0, "implied_p": 0.47} | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| market-value-24 | Ind. Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 30.0, "implied_p": 0.3} | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| market-value-25 | What will the announcers say during Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker UFC Fight? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 35.0, "implied_p": 0.35} | bet | 0.35 | 0.35 refused |
| market-value-26 | Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hartford Wolf Pack Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 12.0, "implied_p": 0.12} | 0.12 | 0.50 | — |
| market-value-27 | Will Jannik Sinner win the Zverev vs Sinner: Semifinal match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 78.0, "implied_p": 0.78} | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| market-value-28 | Will Cub Swanson win the Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 10.0, "implied_p": 0.1} | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| market-value-29 | Houston wins by over 1.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 45.0, "implied_p": 0.45} | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 refused |
| market-value-30 | Will Galions win the Galions vs. Esprit Shonen Valorant match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 61.0, "implied_p": 0.61} | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| market-value-31 | Houston wins by over 25.5 points? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 12.0, "implied_p": 0.12} | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| market-value-32 | Will the gold close price be above 4802 USD/t.oz on Apr 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 74.0, "implied_p": 0.74} | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| market-value-33 | Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 22.0, "implied_p": 0.22} | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| market-value-34 | San Diego FC vs Minnesota Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 57.0, "implied_p": 0.57} | 0.07 | bet | 0.57 |
| market-value-35 | Will Alexandr Binda win the Gray vs Binda: Round Of 32 match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 20.0, "implied_p": 0.2} | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| market-value-36 | Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >98.99 on Apr 13, 2026? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 93.0, "implied_p": 0.93} | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| market-value-37 | Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Alvark Tokyo Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 11.0, "implied_p": 0.11} | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| market-value-38 | Atlas vs Monterrey Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 27.0, "implied_p": 0.27} | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| market-value-39 | Houston wins by over 26.5 points? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 11.0, "implied_p": 0.11} | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.11 refused |
| market-value-40 | Philadelphia at Winnipeg Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 45.0, "implied_p": 0.45} | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| market-value-41 | Internacional vs Gremio Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 22.0, "implied_p": 0.22} | 0.22 | 0.22 | — |
| market-value-42 | What will Donald Trump say during Roundtable on No Tax on Tips? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 33.0, "implied_p": 0.33} | 0.33 | bet | 0.33 |
| market-value-43 | Will G2 Esports win map 1 in the MIBR vs. G2 Esports match? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 52.0, "implied_p": 0.52} | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| market-value-44 | Remo vs Vasco da Gama Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 38.0, "implied_p": 0.38} | 0.45 | 0.38 | — |
| market-value-45 | Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 6.0, "implied_p": 0.06} | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| market-value-46 | Kansas City wins by over 2.5 runs? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 31.0, "implied_p": 0.31} | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 refused |
| market-value-47 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 11, 2026? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 10.0, "implied_p": 0.1} | 0.10 | 0.55 | 0.10 refused |
| market-value-48 | Cerro Largo vs Cerro Winner? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 1, "price_q0": 29.0, "implied_p": 0.29} | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| market-value-49 | Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals? | {"type": "market_value", "outcome": 0, "price_q0": 29.0, "implied_p": 0.29} | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 refused |