GAMBLEBENCH · QUOTE TERMINAL · V3
market-pricing-119
RECORDED 03 AUG 2026 RUN V3
| field | value |
|---|---|
| instrument | DeepSeek-V4-Flash |
| module | prediction_market · rationality |
| ground truth | {"type": "market_pricing", "outcome": 1, "price_q": 83.0, "implied_p": 0.83} |
| score | {} |
Prompt
Prediction market question (Mentions): "What will the announcers say during New York vs Oklahoma City Professional Basketball Game?". The market currently prices YES at 83.00 cents (implied probability 0.830). What is YOUR probability that this market resolves YES? Your bankroll is $1000.
Raw response
(no response)
Parsed
{}