GAMBLEBENCH · LAB LOG · V3
DeepSeek-V4-Flash
RECORDED 03 AUG 2026 RUN V3
| item | question | axis | flags | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| market-pricing-0 | Ethereum price at Apr 14, 2026 at 2pm EDT? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-3 | Will Mark Byington be the next permanent head coach of North Carolina men's college basket | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-2 | Will the Milwaukee pro basketball team win at least 40 times this season? | rationality | 0.902 | |
| market-pricing-1 | Bitcoin price on Apr 5, 2026? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-8 | Will the White House Press Secretary say Oil at her next press briefing? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-9 | Will Dusan Lajovic win the Jodar vs Lajovic : Round Of 32 match? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-10 | Will DN SOOPers Challengers win map 1 in the DN SOOPers Challengers vs. KT Rolster Challen | rationality | 0.203 | |
| market-pricing-7 | Washington at Utah Winner? | rationality | 0.160 | |
| market-pricing-5 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 7, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-11 | Eyupspor vs Samsunspor Winner? | rationality | 0.203 | |
| market-pricing-4 | Eastern Conference Finals Winner? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-14 | Will the gold open price be between $4380.00 and 4419.99 at Mar 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | rationality | 0.002 | |
| market-pricing-16 | Willy Adames: 1+ home runs? | rationality | 0.026 | |
| market-pricing-15 | Nico Hoerner: 1+ home runs? | rationality | 0.002 | |
| market-pricing-13 | Will Santa Clara qualify for the Men's March Madness Round of 32? | rationality | 0.010 | |
| market-pricing-6 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 25, 2026? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-18 | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-pricing-17 | Bitcoin price on Mar 31, 2026? | rationality | 0.002 | |
| market-pricing-21 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 6, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-22 | XRP price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-pricing-20 | Lance McCullers: 6+ strikeouts? | rationality | 0.090 | |
| market-pricing-23 | Ethereum price at Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | rationality | 0.022 | |
| market-pricing-24 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 25, 2026? | rationality | 0.810 | |
| market-pricing-25 | What will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing on April 7th? | rationality | 0.003 | |
| market-pricing-27 | Bitcoin price on Apr 7, 2026? | rationality | 0.004 | |
| market-pricing-28 | Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | rationality | 0.048 | |
| market-pricing-26 | EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 15? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-pricing-19 | Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.30 by 11:59 PM ET on Mar 31, 2026? | rationality | 0.078 | |
| market-pricing-29 | Top USA Song on Spotify on Mar 13, 2026? | rationality | 0.073 | |
| market-pricing-32 | Will the S&P 500 be above 7029.9999 on Apr 16, 2026 at 2pm EDT? | rationality | 0.003 | |
| market-pricing-30 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 31, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-31 | Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20? | rationality | 0.102 | |
| market-pricing-36 | Ezra Taylor vs Willy Hutchinson Winner? | rationality | 0.672 | |
| market-pricing-37 | Bitcoin price on Apr 10, 2026? | rationality | 0.130 | |
| market-pricing-33 | Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10? | rationality | 0.048 | |
| market-pricing-35 | Will Nebraska qualify for the Men's March Madness Elite Eight? | rationality | 0.004 | |
| market-pricing-34 | SOL price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.130 | |
| market-pricing-41 | What will 2026 Masters Tournament winner say during 2026 Masters Champion’s Press Conferen | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-pricing-39 | The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 5? | rationality | 0.022 | |
| market-pricing-38 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 24, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-40 | Will above 100000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.090 | |
| market-pricing-45 | BNB price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.314 | |
| market-pricing-44 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6564.9999 on Apr 7, 2026 at 10am EDT? | rationality | 0.221 | |
| market-pricing-43 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 26, 2026? | rationality | 0.185 | |
| market-pricing-47 | How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global for Apr 8, 2026 hav | rationality | 0.221 | |
| market-pricing-49 | Will Bromley FC win on 2026-04-16? | rationality | 0.270 | |
| market-pricing-42 | Will ARIRANG have At least 560000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart f | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-46 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.260 | |
| market-pricing-12 | Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Winner? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-48 | Will above 70000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.032 | |
| market-pricing-51 | Will above 80000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.090 | |
| market-pricing-53 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.02? | rationality | 0.221 | |
| market-pricing-52 | Will ADL have At Least 40000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for Ap | rationality | 0.303 | |
| market-pricing-55 | Lens wins by over 2.5 goals? | rationality | 0.303 | |
| market-pricing-56 | XRP price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.360 | |
| market-pricing-50 | Steven Kwan: 1+ home runs? | rationality | 0.020 | |
| market-pricing-54 | Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Mar 2026? | rationality | 0.303 | |
| market-pricing-57 | Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston finish top 20? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-pricing-60 | HIFK Helsinki vs KalPa Kuopio Winner? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-62 | Will above 30000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.810 | |
| market-pricing-58 | Shohei Ohtani: 7+ strikeouts? | rationality | 0.360 | |
| market-pricing-63 | What will Tyson Fury say during Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek FINAL PRESS CONFERENCE? | rationality | 0.090 | |
| market-pricing-59 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 15, 2026? | rationality | 0.504 | |
| market-pricing-61 | MJ Melendez: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs? | rationality | 0.122 | |
| market-pricing-66 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.155? | rationality | 0.593 | |
| market-pricing-67 | Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7024.9999 on Apr 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-68 | Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the March Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? | rationality | 0.490 | |
| market-pricing-69 | Will Malik Ellison win the Ballislife x OTD 1v1 between Dominique "Left Hand Dom" Alexande | rationality | 0.062 | |
| market-pricing-72 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.110? | rationality | 0.023 | |
| market-pricing-70 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6499.9999 on Apr 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | rationality | 0.005 | |
| market-pricing-73 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.004 | |
| market-pricing-71 | Bitcoin price on Apr 16, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-65 | Will above 60000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.490 | |
| market-pricing-74 | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.40 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026? | rationality | 0.048 | |
| market-pricing-75 | Bitcoin price on Apr 17, 2026? | rationality | 0.006 | |
| market-pricing-78 | Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 runs? | rationality | 0.490 | |
| market-pricing-80 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.140? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-79 | Will MOUZ NXT win the fnatic vs. MOUZ NXT CS2 match? | rationality | 0.004 | |
| market-pricing-76 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 31, 2026? | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-pricing-81 | Will number of transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 20 from Mar 9, 2026 | rationality | 0.023 | |
| market-pricing-77 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6584.9999 on Mar 25, 2026 at 10am EDT? | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-pricing-85 | Will Marco Cecchinato win the Harris vs Cecchinato : Round Of 16 match? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-84 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 14? | rationality | 0.003 | |
| market-pricing-82 | Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6500.01 by Jan 1, 2027? | rationality | 0.902 | |
| market-pricing-86 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-pricing-83 | Bitcoin price on Mar 31, 2026? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-88 | Baltimore vs Cleveland Winner? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-87 | Will Yu Hsiou Hsu win the Hsu vs Boulais : Round Of 32 match? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-89 | Bitcoin price on Mar 28, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-90 | What will Melania Trump say during Fostering the Future Together Global Coalition Summit o | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-91 | Bitcoin price on Apr 10, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-64 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 24, 2026? | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-pricing-92 | Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs? | rationality | 0.722 | |
| market-pricing-96 | Bitcoin price on Apr 4, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-95 | Oxford United vs Hull Winner? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-93 | Bitcoin price on Mar 27, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-97 | Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >104.99 on Apr 2, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-94 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.990 | |
| market-pricing-99 | ETH price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-value-1 | Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hartford Wolf Pack Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-2 | Orlando Storm vs Louisville Kings winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-0 | Dallas Renegades vs Columbus Aviators winner? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-4 | Texas vs A's first 5 innings runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-5 | Oklahoma City wins by over 3.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-6 | New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-8 | Will G2 Esports win the MIBR vs. G2 Esports Valorant match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-10 | Will Jesper De Jong win the Cerundolo vs De Jong: Qualification Final match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-11 | Fluminense vs Flamengo Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-12 | New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-pricing-98 | Will the **high temp in LA** be 74-75° on Apr 9, 2026? | rationality | 0.020 | |
| market-value-3 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 14? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-9 | Seattle vs San Diego First Inning Run? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-14 | Los Angeles L wins by over 5.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-13 | Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-17 | Lanus vs Banfield Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-7 | Tyler Glasnow: 8+ strikeouts? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-16 | Will Justin Rose shoot under 71.5 in Round 3? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-18 | Will BNK FEARX win map 2 in the DN SOOPers vs. BNK FEARX match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-20 | Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs? | rationality | 1.00 | |
| market-value-19 | Will Metizport win the Basement Bobs vs. Metizport CS2 match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-22 | Palestino vs Deportes Limache Winner? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-21 | Trujillanos vs Est. Merida Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-24 | Ind. Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-25 | What will the announcers say during Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker UFC Fight? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-23 | Will Nate Landwehr win the Swanson vs Landwehr professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 11 | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-26 | Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hartford Wolf Pack Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-27 | Will Jannik Sinner win the Zverev vs Sinner: Semifinal match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-15 | Atlanta wins by over 2.5 runs? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-29 | Houston wins by over 1.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-30 | Will Galions win the Galions vs. Esprit Shonen Valorant match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-32 | Will the gold close price be above 4802 USD/t.oz on Apr 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-34 | San Diego FC vs Minnesota Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-35 | Will Alexandr Binda win the Gray vs Binda: Round Of 32 match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-28 | Will Cub Swanson win the Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-33 | Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-37 | Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Alvark Tokyo Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-36 | Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >98.99 on Apr 13, 2026? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-38 | Atlas vs Monterrey Winner? | rationality | 1.00 | |
| market-value-42 | What will Donald Trump say during Roundtable on No Tax on Tips? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-40 | Philadelphia at Winnipeg Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-41 | Internacional vs Gremio Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-39 | Houston wins by over 26.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-43 | Will G2 Esports win map 1 in the MIBR vs. G2 Esports match? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-47 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 11, 2026? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-44 | Remo vs Vasco da Gama Winner? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-46 | Kansas City wins by over 2.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-49 | Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-48 | Cerro Largo vs Cerro Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-45 | Cleveland wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-31 | Houston wins by over 25.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 |