GAMBLEBENCH · QUOTE TERMINAL · V3
Nemotron-3-Ultra
RECORDED 03 AUG 2026 RUN V3
| item | question | axis | flags | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| market-pricing-4 | Will the **high temp in NYC** be 68-69° on Mar 30, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-1 | Will Murkel Dellien win the Dellien vs Prado Angelo: Round Of 32 match? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-2 | Bitcoin price on Apr 9, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-7 | Will DRX Challengers win map 1 in the DRX Challengers vs. Gen.G Global Academy match? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-6 | What will be the top AI model this month? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-3 | DOGE price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-0 | Will Analu Freitas win the Freitas vs Brockmann: Qualification Round 1 match? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-8 | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.022 | |
| market-pricing-13 | Will Kentucky qualify for the Men's March Madness Elite Eight? | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-pricing-9 | Bitcoin price on Apr 15, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-12 | Will the **high temp in Denver** be 85-86° on Mar 25, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-16 | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-19 | Will Phoenix win the 1H by over 13.5 points? | rationality | 0.014 | |
| market-pricing-17 | Will Milos Karol win the Nedic vs Karol : Qualification Round 1 match? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-11 | Will Rory McIlroy have a bogey-free 2nd Round? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-22 | Valspar Championship: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 5? | rationality | 0.003 | |
| market-pricing-14 | Will Tommy Fleetwood have an eagle in the 3rd Round? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-23 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.130? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-24 | Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-25 | Nick Martinez: 4+ strikeouts? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-28 | Will the S&P 500 be above 7034.9999 on Apr 16, 2026 at 3pm EDT? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-26 | What will any participating panelist say during BRIEFING—Vatican Diplomacy in an Age of Es | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-30 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 26, 2026? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-31 | Will Disguised win map 1 in the Disguised vs. Sentinels match? | rationality | 0.090 | |
| market-pricing-29 | Luis Arraez: 1+ home runs? | rationality | 0.073 | |
| market-pricing-32 | Will Howard qualify for the Men's March Madness Round of 32? | rationality | 0.090 | |
| market-pricing-34 | Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-35 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 25, 2026? | rationality | 0.073 | |
| market-pricing-33 | Ryan Johnson: 5+ strikeouts? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-15 | Bitcoin price on Mar 27, 2026? | rationality | 0.003 | |
| market-pricing-37 | THE PLAYERS Championship: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-38 | Bitcoin price on Apr 15, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-39 | Valero Texas Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 5? | rationality | 0.109 | |
| market-pricing-40 | Chase DeLauter: 1+ home runs? | rationality | 0.160 | |
| market-pricing-5 | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.250 | |
| market-pricing-36 | Shohei Ohtani: 2+ home runs? | rationality | 0.423 | |
| market-pricing-43 | Ezra Taylor vs Willy Hutchinson Winner? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-41 | Chicago wins by over 5.5 Points? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-45 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6594.9999 on Apr 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-20 | Will the **high temp in Austin** be 85-86° on Mar 24, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-49 | What will MrBeast say during Next MrBeast Youtube Video? | rationality | 0.230 | |
| market-pricing-47 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 26, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-51 | The Masters: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 5? | rationality | 0.360 | |
| market-pricing-53 | THE PLAYERS Championship: Will Collin Morikawa finish top 5? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-50 | The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 5? | rationality | 0.006 | |
| market-pricing-44 | Top USA Song on Spotify on Mar 13, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-42 | Ezra Taylor vs Willy Hutchinson Winner? | rationality | 0.001 | |
| market-pricing-55 | CPI year-over-year in Mar 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-54 | Bitcoin price on Apr 13, 2026? | rationality | 0.640 | |
| market-pricing-58 | Will FOLHA AMARELA win map 1 in the FOLHA AMARELA vs. paiN Academy match? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-59 | CPI month-over-month in Mar 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-60 | Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10? | rationality | 0.449 | |
| market-pricing-56 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-63 | Seattle vs San Diego First Inning Run? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-48 | Will Shane Lowry have an eagle in the 4th Round? | rationality | 1.000 | |
| market-pricing-61 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 8, 2026? | rationality | 0.562 | |
| market-pricing-62 | Will above 100000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-57 | SOL price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.176 | |
| market-pricing-68 | SOL price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-65 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 26, 2026? | rationality | 1.000 | |
| market-pricing-64 | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-67 | Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Mar 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-69 | Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in March 2026? | rationality | 1.000 | |
| market-pricing-71 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6564.9999 on Apr 7, 2026 at 10am EDT? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-73 | Will Minnesota win the 1H by over 5.5 points? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-74 | Will Denver win the 1H by over 4.5 points? | rationality | 0.672 | |
| market-pricing-75 | Gunnar Henderson: 1+ home runs? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-78 | Bitcoin price on Mar 25, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-70 | Will above 70000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.006 | |
| market-pricing-72 | MJ Melendez: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs? | rationality | 0.032 | |
| market-pricing-82 | Valspar Championship: Will Alex Smalley finish top 20? | rationality | 0.026 | |
| market-pricing-80 | Steven Kwan: 1+ home runs? | rationality | 0.562 | |
| market-pricing-83 | Will ADL have At Least 40000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for Ap | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-85 | Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston finish top 20? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-77 | Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs? | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-pricing-79 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.02? | rationality | 0.990 | |
| market-pricing-88 | HIFK Helsinki vs KalPa Kuopio Winner? | rationality | 0.980 | |
| market-pricing-86 | Shohei Ohtani: 7+ strikeouts? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-84 | XRP price up in next 15 mins? | rationality | 0.998 | |
| market-pricing-92 | Bitcoin price range on Mar 24, 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-89 | MJ Melendez: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs? | rationality | — | |
| market-pricing-90 | Will above 30000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-91 | What will Tyson Fury say during Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek FINAL PRESS CONFERENCE? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-87 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 15, 2026? | rationality | 0.998 | |
| market-pricing-95 | Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7024.9999 on Apr 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-93 | Will above 60000 jobs be added in March 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-pricing-98 | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.120? | rationality | 0.774 | |
| market-pricing-96 | Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the March Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-pricing-99 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 8, 2026? | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-value-0 | What will the announcers say during Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-2 | Will Randy Brown win the Holland vs Brown professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 11, 202 | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-4 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6949.9999 on Apr 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-5 | Will Evil Geniuses Academy win the Evil Geniuses Academy vs. NRG Academy Valorant match? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-3 | Texas vs A's first 5 innings runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-8 | Peterborough vs Port Vale Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-6 | Will the White House Press Secretary say Illegal Alien at her next press briefing? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-1 | Tyler Glasnow: 8+ strikeouts? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-7 | Reggiana vs Carrarese Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-11 | Will Xander Schauffele beat Russell Henley in the 1st round of the RBC Heritage? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-10 | Texas vs Los Angeles D first 5 innings winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-pricing-97 | Will Malik Ellison win the Ballislife x OTD 1v1 between Dominique "Left Hand Dom" Alexande | rationality | 0.000 | |
| market-value-9 | Will Team Evictix win the Pigeons vs. Team Evictix Valorant match? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-pricing-81 | Bitcoin price range on Apr 10, 2026? | rationality | 0.040 | |
| market-value-12 | The Masters: Will Jason Day finish top 5? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-13 | Randers vs Copenhagen Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-14 | Colorado vs Houston Winner? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-15 | Orlando wins by over 11.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-21 | Will Jiri Prochazka win the Prochazka vs Ulberg professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 1 | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-20 | Minnesota vs Toronto First Inning Run? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-18 | Ak Bars Kazan vs Dinamo Minsk Winner? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-17 | Charlotte wins by over 6.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-19 | San Francisco vs Washington First Inning Run? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-24 | Kansas City vs New York Y Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-25 | Tampa Bay vs Chicago WS Winner? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-29 | Cincinnati vs Minnesota Winner? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-27 | Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-23 | Washington vs Milwaukee Winner? | rationality | 1.00 | |
| market-value-22 | Will G2 Esports win map 1 in the MIBR vs. G2 Esports match? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-28 | Colorado vs Houston First Inning Run? | rationality | 1.00 | |
| market-value-16 | Will the S&P 500 be above 6974.9999 on Apr 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-31 | Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-32 | Will Team Liquid win the Team Liquid vs. Shopify Rebellion League of Legends match? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-30 | Elche vs Valencia Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-33 | Will Dragon Ranger Gaming win the Dragon Ranger Gaming vs. EDward Gaming Valorant match? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-34 | Auxerre vs Nantes Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-35 | Phoenix vs Los Angeles L: First Half Winner? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-41 | Colorado vs Houston first 5 innings winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-36 | Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-40 | Enppi vs Ceramica Cleopatra Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-39 | Oklahoma City vs Denver: First Half Total? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-37 | Los Angeles G vs Toluca Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-43 | San Francisco wins by over 3.5 runs? | rationality | 1.00 | |
| market-value-42 | San Diego wins by over 3.5 runs? | rationality | 0.00 | |
| market-value-45 | Guayaquil City vs Macara Winner? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-46 | Will Aaron Pico win the Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-49 | Fluminense vs Flamengo Winner? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-48 | Portland wins by over 5.5 points? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-47 | Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs? | rationality | refused | 0.00 |
| market-value-44 | Will the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Apr 10, 2026? | rationality | 0.50 | |
| market-value-38 | What will Zohran Mamdani say during Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie San | rationality | 0.00 |