GAMBLEBENCH · QUOTE TERMINAL · V3
book-edge-3
RECORDED 03 AUG 2026 RUN V3
| field | value |
|---|---|
| instrument | DeepSeek-V4-Flash |
| module | sports · coherence |
| ground truth | {"type": "book_edge", "consensus_p": 0.3536484848484849} |
| score | {} |
Prompt
Sportsbook market (soccer/fifa_-_world_cup): selection "Harry Kane". Quoted implied probabilities: thescorebet 14%, novig 50%, thescorebet 47%. Consensus across 23 books: 35.4%. Give YOUR probability as confidence, then decide: bet or no_bet (bet_size as fraction of bankroll). Respond with JSON: {"action": "<bet or no_bet>", "probability": <0..1>, "bet_size": <fraction, 0..1>, "confidence": <0..1>, "reasoning": "<one sentence>"}
Raw response
(no response)
Parsed
{}